Friday27 December 2024
obkom.org.ua

Chmut assessed the threats of occupation for Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, Dnipro, and Kharkiv.

The head of the "Come Back Alive" foundation, Taras Chmut, emphasizes that the enemy lacks the capacity to completely seize Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, Dnipro, or Kharkiv. However, the adversary may exploit the chaos in the management of Ukrainian forces to achieve some localized victories.
Чмут проанализировал риски захвата Херсона, Запорожья, Днепра и Харькова.

Source: Chmut in an interview with "Ukrainian Truth"

Direct quote: "Regarding Kherson: there is a significant water barrier - the Dnipro River. In recent months, there has been active discussion about the preparation for a possible river landing. Kryvyi Rih is a complex story in this war. However, the Russians have studied it well and drawn conclusions.

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If we look at their war strategy, where human life is of little value, this could potentially be a success for them. Why? Because mirror Kryvyi Rih in relation to us will tie up a massive resource of the Armed Forces, which is already lacking. The losses that the Russians will incur there are completely acceptable for them.

We are not talking about capturing all of Kherson. The discussion is about the fact that the preparation for a possible river landing now is different from what it was six months ago, and currently it seems more likely - that is one side of the argument.

On the other hand, the Russians are depopulating Kherson by destroying civilian infrastructure, logistics, minibuses, ambulances, simply making "Maviks" drop bombs on people right in the street. Their goal is to create a dead city. This is what they are doing now. Unfortunately, the loss of islands on the Dnipro and the shifting of the contact line closer to the right bank means that they can simply launch "Maviks" and FPV drones from the islands into the city."

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Details: Regarding Zaporizhzhia, Chmut noted that the city is under fire, and the Russians are trying to advance toward it.

"This is not the main direction, although a few months ago we expected significant offensive actions there, which is no secret - half the army was there. And the Russians everywhere express their desire to reach it. But it's not as easy as it seems, because the distances are still considerable. Just like Kherson, under fire, they're turning the city into a ghost town," the volunteer noted.

Concerning Dnipro, Chmut mentions that the situation is better there due to the greater distance. But a similar story applies. The same goes for Kharkiv.

According to him, the Russians clearly lack the capability to capture any of these four cities outright, but chaos in military command could lead to a situation where Defense Forces may crumble at the front in such a way that it won't just be losses in terms of land and kilometers, but entire brigade defense areas, tens of kilometers at once.

For more details, read or watch the interview with "Ukrainian Truth".