Trump's victory: Putin lost the elections in the USA, says Vadim Denisenko.

Trump's Victory (Preliminary Results) and Peace Negotiations in One Day.

1. Putin lost the elections in the USA. He gambled on a 50/50 situation and the chaos in Washington.

2. Putin will try to delay any negotiations. He cannot discuss Ukraine while Ukrainian troops are in Kursk. Additionally, the current situation on the front will force him to stall. How can he buy time? As always: by playing the fool and threatening with nuclear weapons. Furthermore, he believes that Trump owes him. Even if this is not true — this notion exists in his mind, a sick idea of "we were deceived."

3. What demands will Putin raise in negotiations (which are currently only theoretically possible)? Reduction of the army, a buffer zone, and the destruction of missile forces as such. However, these are secondary demands, as his primary need is the lifting of sanctions. It is quite likely that certain sanctions may be lifted. Based on this, we might have an opportunity for bargaining. The key is to choose the right strategy.

4. Unfortunately, by indirect signs, we can say that an election campaign has begun in the country (at least in the minds of many actors from various political camps). We are now in a situation of numerous kompromat wars among all parties. This has already partially started, but the hottest phase, with high probability, may occur at the beginning of next year. This, in turn, could coincide with the theoretically possible start of negotiations, which will undoubtedly weaken our positions.

5. For now, these are very theoretical reflections in the wake of election night. Of course, we need to keep an eye on the statements from Trump and Harris. And in general, will anything change in the counting?)