It seems Trump is preparing a mix of Finnish and Korean models for Ukraine, according to Sergey Taran.

To summarize all the insights and statements from influential Western influencers following the U.S. elections, it can be inferred that Trump, and consequently the West, are preparing a mix of Finnish and Korean models for Ukraine, where Ukraine will be persistently offered:

1. Temporary neutrality for a period ranging from 5 to 20 years. Unofficially speaking – until Putin's death, when geopolitical conditions may improve. Finland experienced a similar situation, having to maintain neutrality after losing territory until favorable geopolitical conditions arose for joining NATO.

2. De-facto lost territories, which Ukraine will not recognize as Russian, but Kyiv's sovereignty over them will be restored exclusively under new geopolitical conditions, namely during a systemic crisis in Russia.

3. Close cooperation with the EU and NATO, which, however, will not include specific timelines for Ukraine's full participation in key Western alliances.

4. Significant supplies of American weaponry, including long-range systems, which can only be utilized in the event of renewed Russian aggression.

5. Funding for the country's reconstruction.

This scenario of a pause in the war, according to the newly elected American establishment, is preferable to the "war of attrition" that the Biden administration effectively advocates. As influential Republican Marco Rubio, who is considered a likely Secretary of State in a Trump administration, stated, "Ukrainians have been incredibly brave in standing up to Russia, but in the end, it is a stalemate, and it needs to be resolved."

To make the end of the war a reality, the U.S. will propose to Putin:

1. Gradual lifting of sanctions on Russia. Despite what anyone may say, anti-Russian sanctions, particularly in the technology sector, are severely damaging to Russia, creating at least hopelessly uncompetitive conditions for its economy.

2. The return of Russia and personally Putin to the status of respectable politicians with whom one can sit at the same table. The opportunity to "decide the fate of the world" together with the U.S. has long been a fantasy of Putin's. Of course, Trump will never fulfill this fantasy, but at least he can create the illusion of Russia's return to the club of influential nations for the sake of a pause in the war.

3. A promise that Ukraine will not be able to join NATO, which Putin could sell as a significant victory.

4. Occupied territories will effectively remain with Russia – there will be no "peace agreement" between Kyiv and Moscow, but there will be a "ceasefire" regime following the Korean scenario.

Thanks to such peace, Trump will be able to:

1. Showcase a stark contrast with Biden, who, despite all efforts, has not achieved peace either in Ukraine or in the Middle East. It is important to remember that, according to sociological surveys, Trump's "peace plan" appears more attractive to Americans than Biden's policies.

2. Present to Americans the "savings" of taxpayer money. The theme of "unnecessary expenses" has been a recurring point in Trump's rhetoric.

3. Finally compel Europe to increase military budgets and take responsibility for its own security. Even during his first term, he consistently emphasized that Europe does not pay its fair share for its own security.

4. Importantly! — Focus on China, which Trump sees as a greater threat than Russia, and whose alliance, in Trump's view, must be dismantled.

The most challenging aspect of this plan is the issue of guarantees – assurances that Putin will adhere to at least some of the agreements reached in geopolitical negotiations with Trump. Currently, the only significant guarantee appears to be the armaments that Trump can provide to Ukraine. Another guarantee in the form of a "demilitarized zone" and a peacekeeping contingent involving Europeans, but without American participation, which several publications have reported, currently seems unclear and even utopian.

However, in any case, the guarantees of fulfilling agreements must be at the center of preliminary consultations and final agreements. Not because Trump is particularly fond of peace in Ukraine, but because it will be crucial for him that the agreements he reaches are honored. Otherwise, one of his most prominent campaign pledges will turn out to be empty words. Strong leadership, which the elected President of the United States repeatedly emphasizes, cannot afford a global failure.